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Risk-management
Complete Spread Betting Guide for Beginners
8.Risk Management Tools

Spread betting is an inherently risky enterprise. The huge opportunities for profits that spread betting offers only comes with a commensurate level of risk.

A large part of the inherent risk comes from the fact that spread betting is a highly leveraged investment product (meaning that it amplifies profits greatly but can also expose bettors to potential large losses).

Therefore, in order to be a successful spread bettor, it is critical that you practice good risk management in your trading. This article covers the basic risk management principles, as well as risk management tools – trading tools – that spread betting companies make available to you.

 

The Risks of Spread Betting

The first step in managing your spread betting risk is understanding clearly what the risks of spread betting are. Here’s a rundown on the inherent risks associated with financial spread betting:

    • Leverage – Leverage is a great trading tool that enables small investors to make significant profits trading the financial markets. But leverage can work against you just as easily as it can work for you. Highly leveraged trades carry the possibility of incurring losses that exceed your deposits.

 

Be Aware!

Your spread betting company will automatically close out any trades when you no longer have sufficient margin to hold them, but in a rapidly moving market you might end up having trades closed out leaving you with a negative balance – actually owing money to your spread betting provider.

 

    • Unexpected Economic Events – In an increasingly global economy, unexpected economic news, even from thousands of miles away, can create sudden volatility and trigger massive market price movements within just a matter of minutes – or even seconds. A sudden interest rate change, a mining strike, a change in political power – these and other events can have a huge and immediate impact on one or more of your spread bets.

 

For example

The monthly Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report in the United States, a key forex news event, is notorious for creating instant volatility in the forex market and moving the price of major currency pairs 100 to 200 pips or more within the space of a couple of minutes.

For forex traders trading standard lot sizes with a pip value of $10, that can mean sudden profits or losses of $1,000 or more.

 

    • Market Gaps – Trading gaps – where a security such as a stock opens much higher or lower than its closing price from the previous trading day – happen frequently in the financial markets. If you hold spread bets overnight, you must be aware of the increased risk this poses to your trading position(s). Trading gaps are particularly common in stock trading.

 

Be aware!

Earnings reports, released after the market close, often result in the price of a stock gapping higher or lower on the open the next trading day. You can protect yourself against market gapping price action with the use of risk management tools such as guaranteed stop loss orders (discussed later in this chapter).

 

Basic Principles of Spread Betting Risk Management

There are certain basic principles to follow for effective risk management, in addition to specific spread betting tools for managing risk that are provided through your betting firm’s trading platform.

Know the Market(s) you Bet – Every financial market is different. Stock shares don’t trade the same way that commodities do, and commodities don’t trade the same way as the forex currency exchange market. Becoming familiar with the market you want to spread bet before ever deciding to trade is the first step to good risk management.

Learn the times of day when your market tends to be most active – when significant price changes are likely to occur. Know the average daily trading range of any financial instrument you trade. And of course, make sure you know the minimum price movements and what kind of profit/loss each point represents.

Understand Pertinent Economic Data – Learn which economic reports are most likely to significantly impact the instruments or markets you trade. Generally speaking, the most important (high risk) economic reports to watch are the following:

  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
  • Employment/Unemployment Figures
  • Retail Sales
  • Producer Price Index (PPI)
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI)

If you’re spread betting individual stocks, keep track of when the company releases quarterly and annual earnings reports. Earnings reports – especially when they come out significantly higher or lower than expected – are major movers of stock prices and may determine the overall price trend for some time (at least until the next earnings report).

For the convenience of their clients, spread betting firms publish a daily economic calendar showing all the data releases scheduled for that day.

 

Have a Definite Trading Strategy

Financial spread betting is not meant to be blind gambling. It’s a form of investing. Your spread bets should always be based on careful market analysis – fundamental analysis, technical analysis, or some combination of the two. Part of your market analysis should include calculating the risk/reward ratio for any spread bet you’re considering:

What’s your reasonable potential loss vs. your reasonable potential profit?

 

For example

Assume you’re thinking about buying a spread bet on the stock shares of a mining company. The current spread is 96-98. The stock’s high and low prices for the month are 140 and 80, respectively. You decide to use those numbers to figure your maximum potential gain/loss.

 

Your maximum potential loss is 18 points and your potential gain is 42 points. That’s a favourable risk/reward ratio because the potential profit Is more than twice the potential loss.

On the other hand, if the highest price you could reasonably expect the stock to reach was 105, then the bet would not be attractive from a risk/reward analysis, as you’d be risking 18 points against a potential gain of only seven points.

Whatever your trading strategy is, it’s critical that you exercise the necessary self-discipline to follow it, to abide by its rules, even during times when it’s not performing well.

Many studies have found that “not following your trading strategy” is a much more common cause of losing trades than “using a flawed trading strategy”. A good trading strategy has clear rules for entry and exit, employs stop-loss orders to minimise risk, and is well-suited to the market you’re trading.

 

Understand Leverage and Margin Requirements

Because spread bets and CFD (contracts for difference) trading offer extremely high leverage, it’s essential to understand how leverage and margin requirements work.

Know the amount of leverage that you’re betting with, because that enables you to calculate the value of each point in your bet. The margin requirement for a spread bet is the amount of money you have to put up to initiate and hold your spread bet position. Use bet sizes that match up with the amount of trading capital you have.

Make sure you always have enough money in your account to cover the required margin for your spread bet(s) – and don’t forget to allow for the market to temporarily move against you, which will increase the margin required to hold the position.

If you lack the necessary margin money, your spread betting firm will automatically close out your bet. This may result in you losing money when – had you been able to maintain the position – you would have ended up with a winning bet.

 

Specific Risk Management Tools for Spread Betting

Spread betting companies offer their clients several tools to help them limit and manage risk.

1 – Stop Loss Orders

Stop loss orders are one of the most basic risk management tools. A stop loss order is designed to help keep any trading losses at an acceptably low level. Keeping your losses small and manageable is key to being overall profitable in your spread betting enterprise.

Here’s how a stop loss order works:

Assume that you place a buy spread bet with the spread at 70-72, perhaps based on that price level being one of the daily pivot points where price may find support.

Now assume that technical analysis indicates that if you are correct in your price forecast, then the price should not drop back below 60. If the price does decline to below 60, then that would indicate that your market analysis is probably incorrect, so you wouldn’t want to hold your bet and risk further loss. You handle this situation by placing a stop loss order at 58.

If the bid price – the first, lower number quoted in the spread – drops to 58 or lower, then your stop loss order is triggered, and your bet automatically closed out at the best available market price.

Note that, when triggered, a stop loss order effectively becomes a market order. Therefore, unlike a limit order, it is not guaranteed to be filled at a specific price – only at the best available market price at that time.

You can further manage risk by adjusting your stop loss price when the market moves in your favour. You can move your stop loss price to a level that further reduces your risk – or if the market has moved substantially in your favour, you can move your stop loss to lock in some profit.

 

For example

If you bought a spread of 30-32, and the price advanced all the way to 56, then you might adjust your stop loss price up to 45, thereby locking in 13 points (45-32=13).

 

2 – Guaranteed Stop Loss Orders

By paying a slight premium, you can get a guarantee that your stop loss order will be filled at exactly your specified stop price. This is true even if the market gaps past your stop price level from the market close on one day to the market open the next.

 

For example

Assume you placed a spread bet buying the FTSE 100 stock index at 7600, at £1 per point. Now assume that you don’t wish to risk any more than £100 on your bet. You can place a guaranteed stop loss order at 7500.

Even if the FTSE closes on Friday at 7550 and then some significant economic event over the weekend causes the index to gap lower on the Monday open – opening at 7450 – your bet would still be closed out at 7500 – thus saving you from a 50-point additional loss.

Using guaranteed stop loss orders is worth considering if you (A) regularly hold bets overnight, or (B) are trading extremely volatile markets.

 

3 – Limit orders

Limit orders are only filled if they can be filled at the price that you specify, or better. Limit orders can be used to manage your risk by making sure you take profits when possible.

 

A common scenario for traders

They buy into a market at 50, hoping to sell – close out their spread bet – at 75.

After watching the market trade uneventfully, mostly between 55 and 60, for a couple of hours, the bettor has to go out to run some errands. Upon returning a couple of hours later, they discover, much to their dismay, that the market price had briefly spiked up as high as 80, but is now trading back down around 57.

Basically, they missed their chance to get out at their desired profit level!

 

The way to avoid this scenario is to place a limit order to close out your spread bet at 75. When the market, even just momentarily, traded as high as 80, the limit order closing out your bet for a hefty 25-point profit would have been filled.

 

4 – Using Hedging to Manage Risk

Hedging is another popular risk management tool. Hedging your market position is a way of protecting your profits in an existing trade. It is accomplished by taking an additional market position that is likely to rise in price if your existing market position declines.

Hedging works by using two bets on securities that have an “inverse correlation”. An inverse (or negative) correlation simply means that, historically, the prices of the two securities have typically moved in opposite directions. An example of such an inverse correlation is the relationship between the stock market and basic commodities.

Historically, bull markets in stock prices tend to see bear markets in commodity prices. Conversely, when commodity prices are rising, stock prices overall are usually declining.

 

Hedging in action

Assume that you placed a long term futures spread bet on the price of gold, and that gold prices have indeed advanced, showing you a nice profit on your bet.

You believe that gold prices may rise higher still, so you don’t want to close out your bet, but you also think that there may be a temporary decline in gold prices before the market moves higher.

You could hedge your gold position by buying a spread bet on a major stock index, such as the FTSE 100 or the S&P 500 Index. If there is a pullback in gold prices, chances are that the stock indexes will show an increase in value. That way, any erosion of profits in your gold position may be at least partially offset by profits in your stock index spread bet.

You can maintain both positions until market action convinces you that one or the other is most likely to continue advancing while the remaining market declines. At that point, you close out your bet on the security you think offers no more potential profit and hold onto the more promising bet.

 

5 – Portfolio Diversification

Of course, you can elect to keep both bets in place indefinitely. Choosing that course of action is another means of protection against risk – not by hedging, but simply by means of diversification. By betting on a variety of financial instruments, you may not succeed in absolutely maximising your potential profit, but you will obtain significant additional protection against losses.

This is because having a diversified portfolio of investments usually means that when some of your spread bets are losing money, others are showing profits.

 

Conclusion

There is an inherent level of risk in spread betting, so it may not be suitable for everyone. Whether it’s right for you will depend on your risk tolerance and investment objectives.

Fortunately, spread betting companies offer several risk management tools to help you trade more profitably. You can use trading tools such as limit orders and guaranteed stop loss orders to either lock in profits or protect yourself against unacceptably large losses.

You should only spread bet with money that you can afford to lose. Before deciding to trade, make sure that you understand the risks, the market you plan to trade, and how to use the various risk management tools offered by your spread betting provider.

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